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姓 名:范可
职 务
职 称:研究员
研究方向:气候动力学和气候预测
进所时间:0000-00-00
教育
1988,9-1992,7,云南大学大气科学系,学士
1995,9-1998,7,南京气象学院大气科学系,硕士
2002,9-2005,7,中国科学院大气物理研究所,博士

研究经历
范可,研究员(二级)、硕士/博士生导师,中国科学院特聘研究员。国家杰出青年科学基金获得者,2015国家科技创新推进计划“中青年科技创新领军人才”。荣获2014年国家自然科学奖(二等奖)(第二完成人)、第十一届中国青年科技奖,第七届全国优秀科技工作者、中国科学院优秀导师等荣誉。担任《统计气象学和气候预测》委员会主任、《Advances in the Atmospheric Sciences》编委,《大气科学》常务编委等。

主要研究领域是台风、季风、沙尘等气候变异及气候预测研究。主要学术成果:揭示南极涛动的纬向不对称性特征及其对我国气候有重要影响。发现冬、春季南极涛动与中国北方沙尘频次的反相变化关系,揭示冬季的南极涛动可以作为预测我国沙尘发生频次异常的一个重要气候因子。揭示南极涛动具有显著的纬向不对称性特征,并非是此前认为的“纬向对称模”,并发现这种纬向不对称性与ENSO循环有密切的关系,由于认识了南极涛动的纬向不称性,对理解南极涛动与东亚夏季降水和热带系统以及大西洋飓风都有重要的意义。发现了除ENSO之外影响和预测台风活动的多个中高纬重要气候因子,包括北太平洋海冰、北太平洋涛动、南极涛动,并将新发现的预测因子应用到研制台风预测模型。在气候预测理论和方法研究方面,提出年际增量的预测方法和热带相似理论并进行气候预测方法和模型研究。
任职经历

研究项目
已发表论文70多篇,有40多篇被SCI收录,专著一部(第二完成人)。承担国家杰出青年基金(项目负责人)、公益性行业(气象)专项(项目负责人)、创新群体项目(骨干),国家自然科学基金面上项目(项目负责人)等。
重要著作
1. Fan, K., B. Q. Tian, H. J. Wang,2015:New approaches for the skillful prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation based on coupled dynamic climate models, International Journal of Climatology, doi, 10.1002/joc.4330
2. Li, Jing, K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, 2016: Asymmetric response in Northeast Asia of summer NDVI to the preceding ENSO cyclone, Clim. Dyn, doi 10.1007/s00382-015-2627-9 (学生第一作者)
3. Li, Jing, K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, 2015: Links between the late wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and springtime vegetation growth over Eurasia, Clim. Dyn.,doi,10.1007/s00382-015-2627-9 (学生第一作者)
4. Xu. Z.Q., K. Fan*, H. J. Wang (2015), Decadal variation of summer precipitation over China and associated atmospheric circulation after the late 1990s, J. Climate, doi,10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00464.1, 28: 4086-4106(学生第一作者)
5. Tian, B. Q. and K. Fan (2015), A skillful prediction model for winter NAO based on Atlantic sea surface temperature and Eurasian snow cover. Weather and Forecasting, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00100.1.(学生第一作者)
6. Fan, K., Z.Q. Xu, B. Q. Tian, 2014: Has the intensity of the interannual variability in summer rainfall over South China remarkably increased? Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics,doi 10.1007/s00703-013-0301
7. Fan, K., B. Q., Tian, 2013: Prediction of wintertime snow activity in Northeast China. Chin Sci Bull, 58,doi: 10.1007/s11434-012-5502-7.
8. Fan, K. 2010: A prediction model for Atlantic named storm frequency using a year-by-year increment approach, Weather and Forecasting, 25(6), 1842-1851.
9. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2010: Seasonal prediction of summer temperature over Northeast China using a year-to-year incremental approach. Acta Meteor. Sinica, 24(3), 269-275
10. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2009: A new approach to forecasting typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific, Weather and Forecasting, 24(4), 974978, doi: 10.1175/2009WAF2222194.1
11. Fan, K., M. J. Lin, Y. Z. Gao, 2009: Forecasting the summer rainfall in North China using the year-to-year increment approach , Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 52 (4): 532-539 范可,林美静,高煜中, 2008: 用年际增量的方法预测华北汛期降水,中国科学D辑, 38(11) 1452-1459
12. Fan, K., and H. J. Wang, Y. J. Choi, 2008: A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall. Chinese Science Bulletin, 54(4):602-609 范可,王会军,Choi Y J., 2007:一个长江中下游夏季降水的物理统计预测模型,科学通报,52(24):2900-2905
13. Fan, K., 2007: Zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic Oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02706, doi:10.1029/2006GL0280453.
14. Fan, K., 2007a: Sea ice cover over North Pacific, a predictor for the typhoon frequency over west North Pacific? Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 50(8): 1251―1257)范可,2007:北太平洋海冰:一个台风预测的新因子?中国科学D,37(6):851-856.
15. Fan, K.,2007b: New predictors and a new prediction model for the typhoon frequency over western North Pacific,Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci,50(9): 1417-1423. 范可,2007:西北太平洋台风生成频次的新预测因子和新预测模型,中国科学D,37(9):1260-1266
16. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2007: Dust storms in North China in 2002: A case study of the low frequency oscillation, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 24(1), 15-23(SCI)
17. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2007: Simulation on the AAO anomaly and its influence on the Northern Hemispheric circulation in boreal winter and spring, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 50(2):397-403. 范可,王会军, 2007: 南极涛动异常及其对冬春季北半球大气环流影响的数值模拟试验,地球物理学报,50(2): 397-403
18. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2006a: Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring,Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 2006, 49(5) 554-560 范可,王会军, 2006: 南极涛动的年际变化及其对东亚冬春季气候的影响,中国科学(D),36(4),385-391
19. Fan, K., 2006: Atmospheric circulation in southern Hemisphere and summer rainfall over Yangtze River Valley. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(3):599-606. 范可,2006: 南半球环流异常与长江中下游旱涝的关系,地球物理学报, 49(3):672-679
20. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2006b: The Interannual Variability of Dust Weather Frequency In Beijing and Its Global Atmospheric Circulation, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(4): 890-897 范可,2006:北京的沙尘频次的年际变化及其全球环流背景分析,地球物理学报,49(4):1006-1014
21. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2004: Antarctic oscillation and the dust weather frequency in North China, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L10201, doi:10.1029/2004GL019465
22. Tian, B Q., K. Fan*, 2013: Factors favorable to frequent extreme precipitation in the upper Yangtze River Valley, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, doi 10.1007/s00703-013-0261-9
23. Liu, Y. and K. Fan*, 2012: A new statistical downscaling model for autumn precipitation in China, Int. J. Climatol. Doi.101002/joc.3514 (学生第一作者)
24. Fan, K.,2012:A statistical prediction model for spring rainfall over northern China based on internnual increment approach, Journal of tropical Meteorology, 18(4):543-550
25. Liu, Y. and K. Fan*, 2012:Improve the Prediction of Summer Precipitation in the Southeastern China by a Hybrid Statistical Downscaling Model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics,117:121-134,doi:10.1007/s00703-012-0201-0(学生第一作者)
26. Liu, Y. and K. Fan* , 2012: Prediction of Spring Precipitation in China using a Downscaling Approach. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 118:79-93 DOI: 0.1007/s00703-012-0202-z(学生第一作者)
27. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan, 2007: Relationship between the Antarctic oscillation and the western North Pacific typhoon frequency, Chinese Science Bulletin, 52(4): 561-565
28. Wang, H. J. and K. Fan, 2007: Relationship between the Antarctic oscillation and the western North Pacific typhoon frequency, Chinese Science Bulletin, 52(4), 561-565 王会军,范可,2006:西太平洋台风生成频次与南极涛动的关系,科学通报,51(24),2910-2914
29. Wang, H. J., J. Q. Sun, and K. Fan, 2007: Relationships between the North Pacific Oscillation and typhoon and hurricane frequencies. Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 50(9) :1409-1416 王会军,孙建奇,范可,2007:北太平洋涛动与台风和飓风频次的关系研究, 中国科学D,37(9):966-973.
30. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan, 2006: Southern Hemisphere mean zonal wind in upper troposphere and East Asian summer monsoon circulation, Chinese Science Bulletin, 51(12), 1508-1514, DOI:10.1007/s11434-006-2009-0 王会军,范可, 2006:南半球对流层上层纬向风与东亚夏季风环流,科学通报, 51(13),1595-1600
31. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan, 2005: Central-north China precipitation as reconstructed from the Qing dynasty: Signal of the Antarctic Atmospheric Oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24705, doi:10.1029/2005GL024562.
32. Fan, K., 2009: Predicting winter surface air temperature in Northeast China, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2009, 2( 1), 14−17
33. Fan, K., 2009: Seasonal Forecast Model for the Number of Tropical Cyclones to Make Landfall in China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2009,2(5):251-254 (highlighted by AOSL)
34. Fan, K., 2009: Linkage between the Atlantic Tropical Hurricane Frequency and the Antarctic Oscillation in the Western Hemisphere, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2009,2009, 2, (3), 159−164 (highlighted by AOSL)
35. Fan, K., 2011: A statistical scheme for seasonal forecasting of North China winter temperature, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4, 81-85

专著:王会军,范可、郎咸梅等,我国短期气候预测的新理论、新方法和新技术,气象出版社,2012

代表著作:

姓名 职称 研究方向
纪柳青 博士研究生 气候预测
戴海霞 博士研究生 气候预测
彭程 硕士研究生 气候预测
李湘瑞 博士研究生
田宝强 助理研究员 极端气候,气候预测
刘颖 助理研究员 短期气候预测 降尺度
范怡 博士研究生 短期气候预测

合作成员