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姓 名:范可
职 务
职 称:研究员
研究方向:气候动力学和气候预测
进所时间:0000-00-00
教育
1988,9-1992,7,云南大学大气科学系,学士
1995,9-1998,7,南京气象学院大气科学系,硕士
2002,9-2005,7,中国科学院大气物理研究所,博士

研究经历
范可,研究员(二级)、硕士/博士生导师,中科院特聘研究员、国家"万人计划"科技领军人才、国家科技创新推进计划“中青年科技创新领军人才”、国家杰出青年科学基金获得者,荣获2014年国家自然科学奖(二等奖)(第二完成人)、第十一届中国青年科技奖,第七届全国优秀科技工作者、中国科学院优秀导师等荣誉。担任《统计气象学和气候预测》委员会主任、《大气科学》常务编委等。

研究领域是气候动力学和气候预测,主要围绕台风、沙尘、季风等气候变异及气候预测开展研究。主要学术成果:(1)研究中高纬过程对中国气候的重要影响和物理过程:揭示了南极涛动及其纬向不对称性特征及其对我国气候(沙尘、夏季风、降水、台风)的重要影响及其机理,并应用于气候预测;揭示北极海冰对台风频次、中国北方沙尘、气温和降水的影响并应用于气候预测中;揭示华南夏季降水年际变率强度在二十世纪90年代显著增强以及我国夏季降水年代际变化空间分布的新特征。(2)研究气候预测理论和方法:提出年际增量的预测方法、热带相似理论以及动力和统计结合的预测方法并建立若干气候预测模型。已培养的博士研究生中,曾荣获中国科学院院长特别奖、中国科学院院长优秀奖、中科院朱李月华优秀博士生奖、国家奖学金等荣誉。
任职经历

研究项目
已发表论文90多篇,有50多篇被SCI收录,专著一部(第二完成人)。曾经主持国家杰出青年基金、公益性行业(气象)专项(项目负责人)、973课题等。现承担创新群体项目(骨干)、国家自然科学基金重点和面上项目(项目负责人)等。
重要著作
范可为第一作者均是通讯作者,*表示范可为通讯作者,学生第一作者
[1]. Fan, Y., K. Fan *, Z. Q. Xu, and S. Li, 2018: ENSO–South China Sea summer monsoon interaction modulated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 31: 3061-3076.
[2]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan and H. Q. Yang, 2018: East Asian winter monsoon forecasting schemes based on the NCEP’s Climate Forecast System. Climate Dynamics, 51: 2793-2805.
[3]. Dai, H. , K. Fan * and B. Q. Tian, 2018, A hybrid downscaling model for winter temperature over northeast China. Int. J. Climatol, 38: e349-e363.
[4]. Li, X. R., K. Fan *, and E. T. Yu, 2018: A Heavy Rainfall Event in Autumn over Beijing-Atmospheric Circulation Background and Hindcast Simulation using the WRF Model. Journal of Meteorological Research, 32, 503-515.
[5]. Li H., He SP, K. Fan , H. J. Wang, 2018: Relationship between the onset date of the Meiyu and the South Asian anticyclone in April and the related mechanisms. Climate Dynamics, 1-18. doi: 10.100 7/s00382-018-4131-5.
[6]. Fan, K., Z. M. Xie, H. J. Wang, Z. Q. Xu, and J. P. Liu, 2017: Frequency of spring dust weather in North China linked to sea ice variability in the Barents Sea, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3515-7.
[7]. Fan, Y., and K. Fan *, 2017: Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the decadal change in the intensity of the interannual variability of the South China Sea summer monsoon. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, doi: 10.1080/16742834.2016.1256189.
[8]. Li, J., K. Fan *, and L. Zhou, 2017: Satellite Observations of El Niño Impacts on Eurasian Spring Vegetation Greenness during the Period 1982-2015, Remote Sensing, doi: 10.3390/rs9070628.
[9]. Xu, Z., T. Li, and K. Fan *, 2017: The weakened intensity of atmospheric quasi-biweekly oscillation over the western North Pacific during late summer around the late 1990s, Journal of Climate, 30(24): 9807-9826, doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0759.1.
[10]. Fan, K., Z. M. Xie, and Z. Q. Xu, 2016: Two different periods of high dust weather frequency in northern China, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9(4), 263-269, doi: 10.1080/16742834.2016.1176300.
[11]. Fan, Y., K. Fan * and B. Q. Tian, 2016: Has the prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon improved since the late 1970s? Journal of Meteorological Research, doi: 10.1007/s13351-016-6052-8.
[12]. Li J., K. Fan * and Z. Q. Xu, 2016: Asymmetric Response in Northeast Asia of Summer NDVI to the Preceding ENSO cycle, Climate Dynamics, 47: 2765-2783.
[13]. Li J., K. Fan *, Xu J., A. Powell and F. Kogan, 2016: The effect of preceding wintertime Arctic polar vortex on springtime NDVI patterns in boreal Eurasia, 1982−2015, Climate Dynamics, 49: 23-35.
[14]. Xu, Z. Q., K. Fan *, and H. J. Wang, 2016: Role of sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Indo-Pacific region in the northeast Asia severe drought in summer 2014: month-to-month perspective, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3406-y.
[15]. Li J., K. Fan *, and Z. Q. Xu 2016: Links between the late wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and springtime vegetation growth over Eurasia. Climate Dynamics, 46: 987-1000.
[16]. Fan, Y., K. Fan *, and B. Q. Tian. 2016, Has the prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon improved since the late 1970s? Journal of Meteorological Research, 30: 833-852.
[17]. Xu. Z.Q., K. Fan *, H. J. Wang, 2015: Decadal variation of summer precipitation over China and associated atmospheric circulation after the late 1990s, J. Climate, doi,10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00464.1, 28, 4086-4106.
[18]. Fan, K., B. Q. Tian, H. J. Wang, 2015: New approaches for the skillful prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation based on coupled dynamic climate models, International Journal of Climatology, doi, 10.1002/joc.4330.
[19]. Wang, H.J., K. Fan , et al., 2015: A review of seasonal climate prediction research in China, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 32(2),149-168, doi:10.1007/s00376-014-0016-7.
[20]. Ma, J. H.,H, J, Wang, K. Fan , 2015: Dynamic downscaling of summer precipitation over China in 1998 using WRF and CCSM4, Adv. Atmos. Sci., doi:10.1007/s00376-014-4143-y.
[21]. Tian,B. Q., K. Fan , 2015: Seasonal Prediction Assessment of the South Asian Summer Monsoon: ENSEMBLES versus DEMETER, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Letts, 8(4), 208–214.
[22]. Tian, B. Q. and K. Fan , 2015: A skillful prediction model for winter NAO based on Atlantic sea surface temperature and Eurasian snow cover. Weather and Forecasting, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00100.1.
[23]. Fan K., Tian B. Q., 2014: Prediction of wintertime snow activity in Northeast China. Chin Sci Bull, 58, doi: 10.1007/s11434-012-5502-7.
[24]. Huang Y.Y., H. J. Wang, K. Fan and Y.Q. Gao, 2014: The Western Pacific Subtropical High after 1970s: Westward or Eastward Shift?, Clim Dyn, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2194-5
[25]. Huang Y.Y., H.J. Wang, K. Fan , 2014: Improving the Prediction of the summer Asian–Pacific Oscillation using the Interannual Increment Approach,J. Climate, 27, 8126–8134.
[26]. Fan, K., Z.Q. Xu, B. Q. Tian, 2014: Has the intensity of the interannual variability in summer rainfall over South China remarkably increased? Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics,doi 10.1007/s00703-013-0301.
[27]. Liu, Y., K. Fan *, 2014: An application of hybrid downscaling model to forecast summer precipitation at stations in China, Atmospheric Research, 143:17-30. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.01.024.
[28]. 徐志清, 范可, 2014: 印度洋海温异常年际变率模态对中国东部地区夏季降水影响机制的数值试验. 气候与环境研究, 19 (1), 31–40.
[29]. Tian, B Q., K. Fan *, 2013: Factors favorable to frequent extreme precipitation in the upper Yangtze River Valley, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, doi 10.1007/s00703-013-0261-9
[30]. Liu, Y. and K. Fan *, 2012: A new statistical downscaling model for autumn precipitation in China, Int. J. Climatol., doi.101002/joc.3514, 2012.
[31]. 王会军,范可, 2013:东亚季风近几十年的变化特征,大气科学,37(2),313-318.
[32]. 林美静,范可,2013:DEMETER耦合气候模式对西北太平洋纬向风垂直切变的预测能力研究,气候与环境,18(6),793-803
[33]. Fan, K. H. Liu, 2013: Evaluation of Atmospheric Circulation in the Southern Hemisphere in 20CRv2. 6, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0009.
[34]. 范可, 刘辉. 2013: 近百年东亚冬季气温及其大气环流变化型态. 大气科学, 37(2), 383-394, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.12305.
[35]. Liu Y, K. Fan , Y. P. Yan, 2013: A new statistical downscaling scheme for predicting winter precipitation in China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 6, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0008.
[36]. 31.刘颖, 范可,张颖,2013:基于CFS模式的中国站点夏季降水的统计降尺度预测,大气科学,37(6),1287-1299.
[37]. 徐志清,范可*,2013:冬季和春季印度洋海温异常年际变率模态对中国东部夏季降水的可能影响过程,大气科学,36(5),879-888.
[38]. Zhou, M.Z., H. J. Wang and S. Yang, K. Fan , 2013: Influence of springtime North Atlantic Oscillation on crops yields in Northeast China, Climate Dynamics, 41(11-12), 3317-3324.
[39]. Fan, K., Y. Liu and H. P. Chen, 2012: Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches. Wea. Forecasting, 27,1017-1030 doi:10.1175/WAF-d-11-000921.
[40]. Fan, K., 2012: A statistical prediction model for spring rainfall over northern China based on internnual increment approach, Journal of tropical Meteorology, 18(4), 543-550.
[41]. Liu, Y. and K. Fan *, 2012: Improve the Prediction of Summer Precipitation in the Southeastern China by a Hybrid Statistical Downscaling Model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 117,121-134, doi:10.1007/s00703-012-0201-0.
[42]. Liu, Y. and K. Fan *, 2012: Prediction of Spring Precipitation in China using a Downscaling Approach. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 118,79-93, doi: 0.1007/s00703-012-0202-z.
[43]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan *, 2012: Relationship between the late spring NAO and summer extreme precipitation frequency in the middle and lowe reaches of the Yangtze River, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 5(6), 445-460. )
[44]. Chen, H. P., J. Q. Sun, and K. Fan , 2012: Possible mechanism for the interdecadal change of Xinjiang summer precipitation, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 55(3), 267-272陈活泼,孙建奇,范可, 2012:新疆夏季降水年代际转型的归因分析, 地球物理学报, 55(6), 1844-1851 .
[45]. Chen, H. P., J. Q. Sun, and K. Fan , 2012: Decadal features of heavy rainfall events in eastern China, Acta Meteor. Sinica, 26(3), 289-303.
[46]. Wang, H. J., J. Q. Sun, H. P. Chen, Y. L. Zhu, Y. Zhang, D. B. Jiang, X. M. Lang, K. Fan , E. T. Yu, and S. Yang, 2012: Extreme Climate in China: Facts, Simulation and Projection, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, DOI 10.1127/0941-2948/2012/0330.
[47]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan *, 2012: Relationship between the late spring NAO and summer extreme precipitation frequency in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 5(6), 445-460.
[48]. Fan, K., 2011: A statistical scheme for seasonal forecasting of North China winter temperature, Atmospheric and Oceanic Scince Letters, 4, 81-85.
[49]. Liu, Y., K. Fan , H. J. Wang, 2011: Statistical downscaling prediction of summer precipitation in southeastern China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett, 4, 173-180.
[50]. Fan, K. 2010: A prediction model for Atlantic named storm frequency using a year-by-year increment approach, Weather and Forecasting, 25(6), 1842-1851.
[51]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2010: Seasonal prediction of summer temperature over Northeast China using a year-to-year incremental approach. Acta Meteor. Sinica, 24(3), 269-275
[52]. Yue, X., H.J. Wang , H. Liao, and K. Fan , 2010: Simulation of dust aerosol radioactive feedback using the GMOD: 2. Dust-climate interactions, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D04201, doi:10.1029/2009JD012063.
[53]. Yue, X., H.J. Wang , H. Liao, and K. Fan , 2010: Direct climatic effect of dust aerosol in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model Version 3 (CAM3), Advances in Atmospheric SCInces, 27(2), 230-242.
[54]. 林美静,范可,王会军, 2010: 西北太平洋区域纬向风垂直切变的气候特征研究,气象学报,68(3): 309-314.
[55]. 崔绚,周波涛,范可,2010: 卑尔根气候模式中亚洲-太平洋涛动和影响西太平洋热带气旋数的环流背景关系,气候与环境研究, 15(2), 120-128.
[56]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2009: A new approach to forecasting typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific, Weather and Forecasting, 24(4), 974-978, doi: 10.1175/2009WAF2222194.1.
[57]. Fan, K., M. J. Lin, Y. Z. Gao, 2009: Forecasting the summer rainfall in North China using the year-to-year increment approach , Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 52 (4),532-539 范可,林美静,高煜中, 2008: 用年际增量的方法预测华北汛期降水,中国科学D辑, 38(11) 1452-1459.
[58]. Fan, K., 2009a: Linkage between the Atlantic Tropical Hurricane Frequency and the Antarctic Oscillation in the Western Hemisphere, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2(3), 159−164.
[59]. Fan, K.., 2009b: Seasonal Forecast Model for the Number of Tropical Cyclones to Make Landfall in China. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2(5), 251-254.
[60]. Fan, K., 2009c: Predicting winter surface air temperature in Northeast China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2(1), 14−17.
[61]. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan , 2009: A New Scheme for Improving the Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation Anomalies, Weather and Forecasting, 24, 548- 554. doi: 10.1175/2008WAF2222171.1.
[62]. Yue, X., H.J. Wang , H. Liao, and K. Fan , 2009: Simulation of dust aerosol radioactive feedback using the Global Transport Model of Dust: 1. Dust cycle and validation, Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D10202, doi:10210.11029/12008JD010995.
[63]. Fan, K., and H. J. Wang, Y. J. Choi, 2008: A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 54(4), 602-609 范可,王会军,Choi Y J., 2007:一个长江中下游夏季降水的物理统计预测模型,科学通报,52(24), 2900-2905.
[64]. Lin, M. J., K. Fan , and H. J. Wang. 2008: Somali jet changes user the global warming, Acta Meteorological Sinica, 22(4) ,502-510 林美静, 范可,王会军, 2008:全球气候变暖背景下索马里急流变化的预估研究,气象学报, 66(5), 756-764.
[65]. Fan, K., 2007: Zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic Oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02706, doi:10.1029/2006GL0280453.
[66]. Fan, K., 2007a: Sea ice cover over North Pacific, a predictor for the typhoon frequency over west North Pacific? Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 50(8), 1251―1257)范可,2007:北太平洋海冰:一个台风预测的新因子?中国科学D,37(6),851-856.
[67]. Fan, K.,2007b: New predictors and a new prediction model for the typhoon frequency over western North Pacific,Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci,50(9), 1417-1423. 范可,2007:西北太平洋台风生成频次的新预测因子和新预测模型,中国科学D,37(9), 1260-1266. (SCI)
[68]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2007: Dust storms in North China in 2002: A case study of the low frequency oscillation, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 24(1), 15-23.
[69]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2007: Simulation on the AAO anomaly and its influence on the Northern Hemispheric circulation in boreal winter and spring, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 50(2), 397-403. 范可,王会军, 2007: 南极涛动异常及其对冬春季北半球大气环流影响的数值模拟试验,地球物理学报,50(2), 397-403.
[70]. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan , 2007: Relationship between the Antarctic oscillation and the western North Pacific typhoon frequency, Chinese Science Bulletin, 52(4), 561-565.
[71]. Wang, H. J., J. Q. Sun, and K. Fan , 2007: Relationships between the North Pacific Oscillation and typhoon and hurricane frequencies. Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 50(9), 1409-1416 王会军,孙建奇,范可,2007:北太平洋涛动与台风和飓风频次的关系研究, 中国科学D,37(9), 966-973.
[72]. 范可,王会军, 2007: 异常弱的南极涛动及2006年我国春季的沙尘形势,气候与环境研究,12(4), 475-480.
[73]. 王会军,范可,孙建奇,等,2007: 关于西太平洋台风气候变异和预测的若干研究进展,大气科学,31(6),1076-1081.
[74]. 严华生,胡娟,范可,等,2007: 近50 年来夏季西风指数变化与中国夏季降水的关系,大气科学,31(4), 717-724.
[75]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2006a: Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring,Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci, 49(5), 554-560 范可,王会军, 2006: 南极涛动的年际变化及其对东亚冬春季气候的影响,中国科学(D),36(4),385-391.
[76]. Fan, K., 2006: Atmospheric circulation in southern Hemisphere and summer rainfall over Yangtze River Valley. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(3), 599-606. 范可,2006: 南半球环流异常与长江中下游旱涝的关系,地球物理学报, 49(3), 672-679.
[77]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2006b: The Interannual Variability of Dust Weather Frequency In Beijing and Its Global Atmospheric Circulation, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(4), 890-897. 范可, 王会军,2006:北京的沙尘频次的年际变化及其全球环流背景分析,地球物理学报,49(4), 1006-1014.
[78]. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan , 2006: Southern Hemisphere mean zonal wind in upper troposphere and East Asian summer monsoon circulation, Chinese Science Bulletin, 51(12), 1508-1514, DOI:10.1007/s11434-006-2009-0 王会军,范可, 2006:南半球对流层上层纬向风与东亚夏季风环流,科学通报, 51(13),1595-1600. (SCI)
[79]. 范可,王会军,2006: 有关南半球大气环流与东亚气候的关系研究的若干新进展,大气科学,20(3),402-412.
[80]. 范可,王会军,2006: 南极涛动异常与2006年我国东部夏季降水形势预测,应用气象学报,17(3),383-384.
[81]. 王会军,郎咸梅,范可,孙建奇,周广庆,2006: 关于2006年西太平洋台风活动频次的气候预测试验,气候与环境研究,11(2),133-137.
[82]. Wang, H. J., and K. Fan , 2005: Central-north China precipitation as reconstructed from the Qing dynasty: Signal of the Antarctic Atmospheric Oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24705, doi:10.1029/2005GL024562.
[83]. Fan, K. and H. J. Wang, 2004: Antarctic oscillation and the dust weather frequency in North China, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L10201, doi:10.1029/2004GL019465.

专著:王会军,范可、郎咸梅等,我国短期气候预测的新理论、新方法和新技术,气象出版社,2012

代表著作:

姓名 职称 研究方向
纪柳青 博士研究生 气候预测
戴海霞 博士研究生 气候预测
彭程 硕士研究生 气候预测
李湘瑞 博士研究生
戴海霞 博士研究生 气候预测、降尺度
李海山 博士研究生 气候动力学
肖哨 硕士研究生 短期气候预测
王璐杉 博士研究生 气候动力学
田宝强 助理研究员 极端气候,气候预测
徐志清 助理研究员 夏季气候变异
刘辉(已毕业) 气候变化
谢致铭(已毕业)
李晶(已毕业) 博士研究生
刘颖(已毕业) 副研究员 短期气候预测 降尺度
李华 博士研究生
范怡 博士研究生 短期气候预测

合作成员