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姓 名:郭东林
职 务
职 称:副研究员
研究方向:寒区冻土模拟与气候变化
进所时间:2009-09-01
教育
2002/09~2006/07 兰州大学地理系,地理信息系统专业学士
2006/09~2009/07 中国科学院寒旱所,自然地理学专业硕士
2009/09~2012/11 中国科学院大气物理所,气象学专业博士

研究经历
2006~2009年在中国科学院寒旱所学习,获硕士学位;2009~2012年在中国科学院大气物理所学习,获博士学位,而后留所从事科研工作,现为副研究员。主要从事冻土模拟研究工作。曾获中科院优秀博士学位论文奖,第三届刘东升地球科学奖学金,大气所科技创新贡献奖等奖励。

研究思路和成果:
多年冻土约占北半球陆地面积的1/4。全球多年冻土中储存着约18300亿吨的土壤有机碳,相当于大气中二氧化碳含量的2.2倍。北半球多年冻土中还存储着约11370~36550立方千米的地下冰,相当于全球海平面升高3~10 厘米的水含量。此外,表层冻土的季节性冻融过程与地表生态、水文及能量收支有着紧密的联系。冻土消融会导致土壤有机碳释放、地下冰消融以及冻土季节冻融规律的改变,进而对气候、水文水资源、冻土工程稳定性以及地表生态环境产生重要影响。因此,在当前气候变暖以及将来气候可能进一步变暖的背景下,冻土消融及影响成为气候变化研究领域的热点问题。国际上开展的一些大的相关研究计划(如CLIC,CALM和IPY等)已经将冻土问题列为核心内容。由于多年冻土主要分布在高纬度和高海拔地区,这些地区的观测资料十分匮乏,难以满足长时间和大尺度的冻土变化研究,因此数值模拟成为解决冻土问题的重要方法。基于此,本人选择冻土模拟这一研究方向,重点集中在区域冻土模拟。所用的模式为CLM,SHAW和SFI。主要成果是揭示了北半球不同区域多年冻土消融速度的差异及原因,阐明了青藏高原冻土变化及对局地水文过程、热融灾害的可能影响,以及青藏高原土壤冻融作用对地表水热交换的影响。部分成果被《IPCC第五次评估报告》和《第三次气候变化国家评估报告》引用。


任职经历
2012/12~2015/01,中国科学院大气物理所,助理研究员
2014/07~2016/07,中科院大气物理所青年科学家实验室,成员
2015/02~至今,中国科学院大气物理所,副研究员

研究项目

[1] 国家自然科学面上基金项目“青藏高原冻土变化对区域能量和水分循环的影响机理模拟研究”,研究期限:2018/ 01~2021/12,主持。

[2] 国家自然科学青年基金项目“基于多套再分析资料和CLM4.5模式研究北半球多年冻土年代际变化及其成因”,研究期限:2015/ 01~2017/12,主持。

[3] 国家重点研发计划课题“中国北方地区极端气候变化趋势的预估”,研究期限:2016/07~2021/06,骨干。


重要著作

已发表论文24篇(第一作者17篇),其中SCI论文16篇(第一作者12篇)。

[1] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2017: Permafrost degradation and associated ground settlement estimation under 2 °C global warming, Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.1007/s00382-016-3469-9.

[2] Guo Donglin*, Li Duo, Hua Wei, 2017: Quantifying air temperature evolution in the permafrost region from 1901 to 2014, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.5161.

[3] Guo Donglin*, Yu Entao, Wang Huijun, 2016: Will the Tibetan Plateau warming depend on elevation in the future? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 3969–3978.

[4] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2016: Comparison of a very-fine-resolution GCM and RCM dynamical downscaling in simulating climate in China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33, 559–570.

[5] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2016: CMIP5 permafrost degradation projection: a comparison among different regions, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 4499–4517.

[6] Guo Donglin*, Sun Jianqi, 2015: Permafrost thaw and associated settlement hazard onset timing over the Qinghai-Tibet engineering corridor, International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 6(4), 347–358.

[7] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2014: Simulated change in the near-surface soil freeze/thaw cycle on the Tibetan Plateau from 1981 to 2010, Chinese Science Bulletin, 59, 2439–2448.

[8] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2013: Simulation of permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions on the Tibetan Plateau, 1981-2010, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 5216–5230.

[9] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, Li Duo, 2012: A projection of permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D05106, doi:10.1029/2011JD016545.

[10] Guo Donglin*, Wang Huijun, 2012: The significant climate warming in the northern Tibetan Plateau and its possible causes, International Journal of Climatology, 32: 1775–1781.

[11] Guo Donglin*, Yang Meixue, Wang Huijun, 2011: Characteristics of land surface heat and water exchange under different soil freeze/thaw conditions over the central Tibetan Plateau, Hydrological Processes, 25, 2531–2541.

[12] Guo Donglin, Yang Meixue, Wang Huijun, 2011: Sensible and latent heat flux response to diurnal variation in soil surface temperature and moisture under different freeze/thaw soil conditions in the seasonal frozen soil region of the central Tibetan Plateau, Environmental Earth Sciences, 63, 97–107.

[13] 郭东林*, 李多, 刘广岳, 2017: 1901~2010年青藏高原土壤温度变化的模拟研究, 第四纪研究, 37, 出版中.

[14] 郭东林, 杨梅学, 2010: SHAW模式对青藏高原中部季节冻土区土壤温、湿度的模拟, 高原气象, 29, 1369–1377.

[15] 郭东林*, 杨梅学, 李敏, 等, 2009: 青藏高原中部季节冻土区地表能量通量的模拟分析, 高原气象, 28, 978–987.

[16] 郭东林, 杨梅学, 屈鹏, 等, 2009: 能量和水分循环过程研究:回顾与探讨, 冰川冻土, 31, 1116–1126.

[17] 郭东林*, 杨梅学, 马明国, 等, 2008: 基于组件式GIS技术的中国地形图分幅表查询系统, 遥感技术与应用, 23, 592–599.

[18] Wang Aihui, Zeng Xubin, Guo Donglin, 2016: Estimates of global surface hydrology and heat fluxes from the Community Land Model (CLM4.5) with four atmospheric forcing datasets, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 17, 2493–2510.

[19] Jiang Dabang, Lang Xianmei, Tian Zhiping, Guo Donglin, 2011: Last glacial maximum climate over China from PMIP simulations, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 347–357.

[20] Yang Meixue, Nelson F., Shiklomanov N., Guo Donglin, 2010: Permafrost degradation and its environmental effects on the Tibetan Plateau: A review of recent research, Earth-Science Reviews, 103, 31–44.

[21] Yang Meixue, Yao Tandong, Nelson F., Shiklomanov N., Guo Donglin, Wang Chenghai, 2008: Snow cover and depth of freeze-thaw on the Tibetan Plateau: a case study from 1997 to 1998, Physical Geography, 29, 208–221.

[22] 张人禾, 苏凤阁, 江志红, 高学杰, 郭东林, 等, 2015: 青藏高原21世纪气候和环境变化预估研究进展, 科学通报, 60, 3036–3047.

[23] 屈鹏, 郭东林, 2009: 祁连山东部近50年气候特征变化分析, 干旱区资源与环境, 23, 66–70.

[24] 屈鹏, 杨梅学, 郭东林, 等, 2009: RegCM3模式对青藏高原夏季气温和降水的模拟, 高原气象, 28, 738–744.


代表著作:

1) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, 2016: CMIP5 permafrost degradation projection: a comparison among different regions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 4499–4517 <摘要> PDF


2) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, 2016: Comparison of a very-fine-resolution GCM and RCM dynamical downscaling in simulating climate in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33, 559–570 <摘要> PDF

3) Guo Donglin, Yu Entao, Wang Huijun, 2016: Will the Tibetan Plateau warming depend on elevation in the future?. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 3969–3978 <摘要> PDF

4) Guo Donglin, Sun Jianqi, 2015: Permafrost thaw and associated settlement hazard onset timing over the Qinghai-Tibet engineering corridor. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 6, 347–358 <摘要> PDF

5) 张人禾, 苏凤阁, 江志红, 高学杰, 郭东林, 等, 2015: 青藏高原21世纪气候和环境变化预估研究进展. 科学通报, 60, 3036–3047 <摘要> PDF

6) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, 2014: Simulated change in the near-surface soil freeze/thaw cycle on the Tibetan Plateau from 1981 to 2010. Chinese Science Bulletin, 59, 2439–2448 <摘要> PDF

7) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, 2013: Simulation of permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions on the Tibetan Plateau, 1981-2010. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 5216–5230 <摘要> PDF

8) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, Li Duo, 2012: A projection of permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D05106, doi:10.1029/2011JD016545 <摘要> PDF

9) Guo Donglin, Wang Huijun, 2012: The significant climate warming in the northern Tibetan Plateau and its possible causes. International Journal of Climatology, 32, 1775–1781 <摘要> PDF

10) Guo Donglin, Yang Meixue, Wang Huijun, 2011: Characteristics of land surface heat and water exchange under different soil freeze/thaw conditions over the central Tibetan Plateau. Hydrological Processes, 25, 2531–2541 <摘要> PDF

11) Guo Donglin, Yang Meixue, Wang Huijun, 2011: Sensible and latent heat flux response to diurnal variation in soil surface temperature and moisture under different freeze/thaw soil conditions in the seasonal frozen soil region of the central Tibetan Plateau. Environmental Earth Sciences, 63, 97–107 <摘要> PDF

12) Jiang Dabang, Lang Xianmei, Tian Zhiping, Guo Donglin, 2011: Last glacial maximum climate over China from PMIP simulations. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 347–357 <摘要> PDF

13) Yang Meixue, Nelson F., Shiklomanov N., Guo Donglin, 2010: Permafrost degradation and its environmental effects on the Tibetan Plateau: A review of recent research. Earth-Science Reviews, 103, 31–44 <摘要> PDF

14) 郭东林, 杨梅学, 2010: SHAW模式对青藏高原中部季节冻土区土壤温、湿度的模拟. 高原气象, 29, 1369–1377 <摘要> PDF

15) 郭东林, 杨梅学, 屈鹏, 等, 2009: 能量和水分循环过程研究:回顾与探讨. 冰川冻土, 31, 1116–1126 <摘要> PDF

16) 屈鹏, 郭东林, 2009: 祁连山东部近50年气候特征变化分析. 干旱区资源与环境, 23, 66–70 <摘要> PDF

17) 屈鹏, 杨梅学, 郭东林, 等, 2009: RegCM3模式对青藏高原夏季气温和降水的模拟. 高原气象, 28, 738–744 <摘要> PDF

18) 郭东林, 杨梅学, 李敏, 等, 2009: 青藏高原中部季节冻土区地表能量通量的模拟分析. 高原气象, 28, 978–987 <摘要> PDF

19) Yang Meixue, Yao Tandong, Nelson F., Shiklomanov N., Guo Donglin, Wang Chenghai, 2008: Snow cover and depth of freeze-thaw on the Tibetan Plateau: a case study from 1997 to 1998. Physical Geography, 29, 208–221 <摘要> PDF

20) 郭东林, 杨梅学, 马明国, 等, 2008: 基于组件式GIS技术的中国地形图分幅表查询系统. 遥感技术与应用, 23, 592–599 <摘要> PDF

姓名 职称 研究方向