姓       名： 祝亚丽

职       称： 研究员
研究方向： 亚洲季风，年代际气候变化，气候预测
进所时间： 2009.2

教       育：

2004.9–2008.12  中国科学院大气物理研究所，获理学博士学位
2000.9–2004.6    兰州大学大气科学系，获理学学士学位

任职经历：
2024.2– 至今     中国科学院大气物理研究所，研究员
2016.2–2024.1  中国科学院大气物理研究所，项目研究员
2012.4–2016.1  中国科学院大气物理研究所，副研究员
2009.6–2012.4  中国科学院大气物理研究所，助理研究员
2009.3–2009.5  香港城市大学，访问学者

研究项目：

2022–2027  中国东北区域陆—气跨圈层精细化协同观测和资料反演（重点研发，骨干）

2020–2024  亚洲中高纬区极端气候的机理、预测预估及其生态环境影响（基金重大，骨干）

2018–2022  多模式集合气候预测方法和应用研究（重点研发，骨干）

2016–2021  中国北方地区极端气候的变化及成因研究（重点研发，骨干）

2017–2020  南亚夏季风系统的年代际变化特征和机制研究（面上基金，主持）

2016–2017  土壤温湿在联系秋季北极海冰和夏季欧亚气候中的作用（国际合作与交流项目，联合主持）

2013–2015  90年代末和70年代末中国东部夏季降水的两次年代际变化之比较和机制研究（青年基金，主持）

2011–2015  中国百年气候变化的大气环流型态（碳专项子课题）

2009–2013  我国旱涝、酷暑和持续性暴雪冰冻等极端气候的预测系统研制及预测效能评估（973子课题）

• 1. Zhu, Y. L., Lei, Y. B., Sun, J. Q., Chen, H. P., Liu, Y., Wang, H. J., 2024: The extreme lake level change and mid-summer rainfall on the Tibetan Plateau in 2015/2018 from the perspective of atmospheric circulation. Journal of Hydrology, 630, 130766.

  2. Zhu, Y. L., Song, F. W., Guo, D., 2024: Interdecadal changes in the frequency of winter extreme cold events in North China during 1989–2021. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 630, 100468.

  3. Zhu, Y. L., Song, F. W., Guo, D., 2024: Interdecadal changes in the western Siberian summer mean and extreme rainfall during 1982–2021. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 100464.

  4. Zhu, Y. L., Sun, J. Q., Ma, J. H., 2023: A hybrid statistical-dynamical prediction model for summer precipitation in northwestern China based on NCEP CFSv2. Atmospheric Research, 283, 106567.

  5. Zhu, Y. L., 2022: A tripole winter precipitation change pattern around the Tibetan Plateau in the late 1990s. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 15, 100223.

  6. Liu, Y., Zhu, Y. L., Chen, H. P., 2021: Interannual variability in August drought in northern China and the corresponding climate shift. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD034105.

  7. Zong, P. S., Zhu, Y. L., Wang, H. J., Liu, D. Y., 2020: WRF-Chem Simulation of Winter Visibility in Jiangsu, China, and the Application of a Neural Network Algorithm. Atmosphere, 11, 520.

  8. Liu, Y., Zhu, Y. L., Wang, H. J., Gao, Y. Q., Sun, J. Q., Wang, T., Ma, J. H., Yurova, A., Li, F., 2020: Role of autumn Arctic Sea ice in the subsequent summer precipitation variability over East Asia. International Journal of Climatology, 40, 706-722.

  9. Lei, Y. B., Y. L. Zhu, B. Wang, T. D. Yao, K. Yang, X. W. Zhang, J. Q. Zhai, and N. Ma, 2019: Extreme lake level changes on the Tibetan Plateau associated with the 2015/2016 El Niño. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 5889-5898. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081946.

  10. Ma, H. Y., Zhu, Y. L., Hua, W., 2019: Interdecadal change in the South Asian summer monsoon rainfall in 2000 and contributions from regional tropical SST. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 12, 399-408.

  11. Zhu, Y. L., Y. Liu, H. J. Wang, and J. Q. Sun, 2019: Changes in the interannual summer drought variation along with the regime shift over Northwest China in the late 1980s. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 2868–2881.

  12. Zong, P. S., Y. L. Zhu, and J. P. Tang, 2019: Sensitivity of summer precipitation in regional spectral model simulations over eastern China to physical schemes: Daily, extreme and diurnal cycle. International Journal of Climatology, 39, 4340-4357. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6077.

  13. Liu Y., S. P. He, F. Li, H. J. Wang, and Y. L. Zhu, 2019: Unstable relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and East Asian jet stream in winter and possible mechanisms. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 135, 13-27. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-017-2354-8.

  14. Yurova, A., L. P. Bobylev, Y. L. Zhu, R. Davy, and A. Y.Korzhikov, 2019:. Atmospheric heat advection in the Kara Sea region under main synoptic processes. International Journal of Climatology, 39, 361-374.

  15. Miao J., T. Wang, H. Wang, Y. L. Zhu, and J. Sun, 2018: Interdecadal weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon in the mid-1980s: the roles of external forcings. Journal of Climate, 31, 8985–9000.

  16. Zhu Y. L., H. Wang, T. Wang, and D. Guo, 2018: Extreme spring cold spells in North China during 1961–2014 and the evolving processes. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 11, 432–437.

  17. Liu Y., S. P. He, F. Li, H. J. Wang, and Y. L. Zhu, 2017: Interdecadal change between the Arctic Oscillation and East Asian climate during 1900-2015 winters. International Journal of Climatology, 37, 4791-4802.

  18. Miao, J. P., T. Wang, Y. L. Zhu, J. Z. Min, H.J. Wang, D. Guo, 2016: Response of the East Asian winter monsoon to strong tropical volcanic eruptions. Journal of Climate, 29 (13), 5041-5057. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0600.1

  19. Zhu, Y. L., and T. Wang, 2016: The relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and ENSO as simulated by CCSM4, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9(2), 198-203.

  20. Zhu, Y. L., T. Wang, and J. H. Ma, 2016: Influence of internal decadal variability on the summer rainfall in eastern China as simulated by CCSM4, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33(6), 706-714, DOI: 10.1007/s00376-016-5269-x.

  21. Zhu, Y. L., T. Wang, and H. J. Wang, 2016: Relative contribution of the anthropogenic forcing and natural variability to the interdecadal shift of climate during the late 1970s and 1990s, Science Bulletin, 61(5), 416-424, DOI: 10.1007/s11434-016-1012-3.

  22. Zhu, Y. L., H. J. Wang, J. H. Ma, T. Wang, and J. Q. Sun, 2015: Contribution of the phase transition of Pacific Decadal Oscillation to the late 1990s’ shift in East China summer rainfall, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120 (17), 8817-8827. DOI: 10.1002/2015JD023545.

  23. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, J. Q. Sun, S. L. Li, Z. H. Lin, G. Q. Zhou, L. J. Chen, X. M. Lang, F. Li, Y. L. Zhu, H. Chen, and F. Zheng, 2015: A review of seasonal climate prediction research in China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 32 (2), 149-168.

  24. 潘攀，祝亚丽，王纪军，2014：近50年黄河流域气温变化特征及背景分析，气候与环境研究，19(4), 477-485.

  25. Zhu, Y. L., 2013: Interdecadal variations of the winter temperature in East China during past hundred years and the related atmospheric circulation, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 6(5), 290‒294.

  26. Zhu, Y. L., 2012: Variations of the summer Somali and Australia cross-equatorial flows and the implications for the Asian summer monsoon, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 29(3), 509-513.

  27. Wang, H. J., J. Q., Sun, H. P. Chen, Y. L. Zhu, Y. Zhang, D. B. Jiang, X. M. Lang, K. Fan, E. T. Yu, and S. Yang, 2012: Extreme Climate in China: Fact, Simulation and Projection, Meteorologische Zeitschift, 21(3), 279-304. Doi: 10.1127/0941-2948/2012/0330.

  28. 王会军, 孙建奇, 祝亚丽, 2012: 中国极端气候及东亚地区能量和水分循环研究的若干近期进展, 自然杂志, 34(1), 10-18.

  29. Sun, B., Y. L. Zhu, and H. J. Wang, 2011: The Recent Interdecadal and Interannual Variation of Water Vapor Transport over Eastern China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 28(5), 1039-1048.

  30. Zhu, Y. L., 2011: A seasonal prediction model for the summer rainfall in Northeast China using the year-to-year increment approach, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4(3), 146-150.

  31. Zhu, Y. L., H. J. Wang, W. Zhou, and J. H. Ma, 2011: Recent changes in the summer precipitation pattern in East China and the background circulation, Climate Dynamics, 36, 1463-1473. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0852-9.

  32. Zhu, Y. L., and H. J. Wang, 2010: The relationship between the Aleutian Low and the Australian summer monsoon at interannual time scales, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 27, 177-184.

  33. Zhu, Y. L., H. J. Wang, 2010: The Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations in the IPCC AR4 Coupled Models, Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 24(2), 176-188. 【祝亚丽，王会军，2008：基于IPCC AR4耦合模式的南极涛动和北极涛动的模拟及未来变化预估，气象学报，66（6），993-1004】

  34. Zhu, Y. L., 2009: The Antarctic Oscillation-East Asian Summer Monsoon Connections in NCEP-1 and ERA-40, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 26(4), 707-716.