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About Our Centre范可(FAN Ke).fanke
范可研究员(二级) :研究方向是气候动力学和气候预测,主要围绕季风、旱涝、台风、沙尘、、降水、植被等气候变异、极端气候事件以及气候预测理论、方法、建模等研究,在国内外期刊发表文章100余篇(SCI论文70余篇)。中科院特聘研究员、中国科学院大学岗位教授(A类)、国家杰出青年基金获得者(2013)。曾荣获国家自然科学二等奖(第二完成人)(2014)、中国青年科技奖(2010)、全国优秀科技工作者(2016)、“庆祝中华人民共和国成立70周年”纪念章(2019)、中国科学院优秀导师(2012)等荣誉。已培养的研究生中,荣获中国科学院院长特别奖、中国科学院院长奖、北京市优秀毕业生、中科院大气所优秀博士论文、国家奖学金等荣誉。
范可为第一作者均是通讯作者,*表示范可为通讯作者,学生第一作者
[1]. Dai, H. X., K. Fan*, 2020: Skilful two-month-leading hybrid climate prediction for winter temperature over China. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.6497.
[2]. Ji, L. Q., K. Fan*, 2020: Effect of Atlantic sea surface temperature in May on intraseasonal variability of Eurasian NDVI in summer. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031991.
[3]. Li, X. R., K. Fan*, E. T. Yu, 2020: Hindcast of Extreme Rainfall with high-resolution WRF: model ability and effect of physical schemes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(1-2), 639-658.
[4]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan*, 2020: Different prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon in the early and late winter season. Climate Dynamics, 54(3-4), 1523-1538.
[5]. Dai, H. X., K. Fan*, J. P. Liu, 2019: Month-to-month variability of winter temperature over Northeast China linked to sea ice cover over Davis Strait–Baffin Bay and the Barents–Kara Sea. Journal of Climate, 32(19), 6365-6384.
[6]. Fan, Y., K. Fan*, X. H. Zhu, K. Fraedrich, 2019: El Niño-related Summer Precipitation Anomalies in Southeast Asia Modulated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 32(22), 7971-7987.
[7]. Ji, L. Q., K. Fan*, 2019: Climate Prediction of Satellite-Based Spring Eurasian Vegetation Index (NDVI) using Coupled Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) Patterns. Remote Sensing, 11(18), 2123.
[8]. Ji, L. Q., K. Fan*, 2019: Interannual linkage between wintertime sea-ice cover variability over the Barents Sea and springtime vegetation over Eurasia. Climate Dynamics, 53(9-10), 5637-5652.
[9]. Ji, L. Q., K. Fan*, 2019: Climate prediction of dust weather frequency over northern China based on sea-ice cover and vegetation variability. Climate Dynamics, 53(1-2), 687-705.
[10]. Li, H., S. P. He, K. Fan, H. J. Wang, 2019: Relationship between the onset date of the Meiyu and the South Asian anticyclone in April and the related mechanisms. Climate Dynamics, 52(1-2), 209-226.
[11]. Li, H. S., K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, H. Li, 2019: Modified three-dimensional jet indices and their application to East Asia. Atmosphere, 10(12), 776.
[12]. Peng, C., K. Fan*, H. X. Dai, 2019: Sub-seasonal variations of weak stratospheric polar vortex in December and its impact on Eurasian air temperature. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 12(5), 369-375.
[13]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan, 2019: Climate prediction of summer extreme precipitation frequency in the Yangtze River valley based on sea surface temperature in the southern Indian Ocean and ice concentration in the Beaufort Sea. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.6446.
[14]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan*, 2019: Why is North Atlantic Oscillation more predictable in December?. Atmosphere, 10(8), 477.
[15]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan*, 2019: Seasonal Climate Prediction Models for the Number of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 33(5), 837-850.
[16]. Xu, Z. Q., K. Fan, 2019: Projected changes in summer water vapor transport over East Asia under the 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming targets. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 12(2), 124-130.
[17]. Xu, Z. Q., K. Fan, H. J. Wang, 2019: Springtime convective quasi-biweekly oscillation and interannual variation of its intensity over the South China Sea–western North Pacific. Journal of Meteorological Research, 33(2), 323-335.
[18]. 李湘瑞, 范可*, 徐志清, 2019: 2000年后中国北方东部地区夏季极端降水减少及水汽输送特征. 大气科学, 43(5), 1109-1124.
[19]. 王秀英, 田宝强, 范可, 2019: 基于年际增量方法的云南省普洱雨季开始期气候预测. 大气科学学报, 42(6), 801-813.
[20]. Dai, H. X., K. Fan*, B. Q. Tian, 2018: A hybrid downscaling model for winter temperature over northeast China. International Journal of Climatology, 38(S1), e349-e363.
[21]. Fan, K., Z. M. Xie, H. J. Wang, Z. Q. Xu, J. P. Liu, 2018: Frequency of spring dust weather in North China linked to sea ice variability in the Barents Sea. Climate Dynamics, 51(11-12), 4439-4450.
[22]. Fan, Y., K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, S. L. Li, 2018: ENSO–South China Sea summer monsoon interaction modulated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 31(8), 3061-3076.
[23]. Li, X. R., K. Fan*, E. T. Yu, 2018: A Heavy Rainfall Event in Autumn over Beijing-Atmospheric Circulation Background and Hindcast Simulation using the WRF Model. Journal of Meteorological Research, 32(3), 503-515.
[24]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan, H. Q. Yang, 2018: East Asian winter monsoon forecasting schemes based on the NCEP's Climate Forecast System. Climate Dynamics, 51(7-8), 2793-2805.
[25]. Fan, Y., K. Fan*, 2017: Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the decadal change in the intensity of the interannual variability of the South China Sea summer monsoon. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 10(2), 162-167.
[26]. Li, J., K. Fan*, J. J. Xu, A. Powell, F. Kogan, 2017: The effect of preceding wintertime Arctic polar vortex on springtime NDVI patterns in boreal Eurasia, 1982−2015. Climate Dynamics, 49(1-2), 23-35.
[27]. Li, J., K. Fan*, L. M. Zhou, 2017: Satellite Observations of El Niño Impacts on Eurasian Spring Vegetation Greenness during the Period 1982-2015. Remote Sensing, 9(7), 628.
[28]. Xu, Z. Q., K. Fan*, H. J. Wang, 2017: Role of sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Indo-Pacific region in the northeast Asia severe drought in summer 2014: month-to-month perspective. Climate Dynamics, 49(5-6), 1631-1650.
[29]. Xu, Z. Q., T. Li, K. Fan*, 2017: The weakened intensity of atmospheric quasi-biweekly oscillation over the western North Pacific during late summer around the late 1990s. Journal of Climate, 30(24), 9807-9826.
[30]. Fan, K., B. Q. Tian, H. J. Wang, 2016: New approaches for the skillful prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation based on coupled dynamic climate models. International Journal of Climatology, 36(1), 82-94.
[31]. Fan, K., Z. M. Xie, Z. Q. Xu, 2016: Two different periods of high dust weather frequency in northern China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9(4), 263-269.
[32]. Fan, Y., K. Fan*, B. Q. Tian, 2016: Has the prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon improved since the late 1970s?. Journal of Meteorological Research, 30(6), 833-852.
[33]. Li, J., K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, 2016a: Asymmetric Response in Northeast Asia of Summer NDVI to the Preceding ENSO cycle. Climate Dynamics, 47(9-10), 2765-2783.
[34]. Li, J., K. Fan*, Z. Q. Xu, 2016b: Links between the late wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and springtime vegetation growth over Eurasia. Climate Dynamics, 46(3-4), 987-1000.
[35]. 范可, 田宝强, 刘颖, 2016: 2015/2016年极强厄尔尼诺事件下我国动力和统计结合实时气候预测研究. 大气科学学报, 39(6), 744-755.
[36]. Huang, Y. Y., H. J. Wang, K. Fan, Y. Q. Gao, 2015: The Western Pacific Subtropical High after 1970s: Westward or Eastward Shift?. Climate Dynamics, 44(7-8), 2035-2047.
[37]. Ma, J. H., H. J. Wang, K. Fan, 2015: Dynamic downscaling of summer precipitation prediction over China in 1998 using WRF and CCSM4. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 32(5), 577-584.
[38]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan, 2015: A skillful prediction model for winter NAO based on Atlantic sea surface temperature and Eurasian snow cover. Weather and Forecasting, 30(1), 197-205.
[39]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan, 2015: Seasonal Prediction Assessment of the South Asian Summer Monsoon: ENSEMBLES versus DEMETER. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 8(4), 208-214.
[40]. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, J. Q. Sun, S. L. Li, Z. H. Lin, G. Q. Zhou, L. J. Chen, X. M. Lang, F. Li, Y. L. Zhu, H. Chen, F. Zheng, 2015: A review of seasonal climate prediction research in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 32(2), 149-168.
[41]. Xu, Z. Q., K. Fan*, H. J. Wang, 2015: Decadal variation of summer precipitation over China and associated atmospheric circulation after the late 1990s. Journal of Climate, 28(10), 4086-4106.
[42]. Fan, K., Z. Q. Xu, B. Q. Tian, 2014: Has the intensity of the interannual variability in summer rainfall over South China remarkably increased?. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 124(1-2), 23-32.
[43]. Huang, Y. Y., H. J. Wang, K. Fan, 2014: Improving the Prediction of the summer Asian–Pacific Oscillation using the Interannual Increment Approach. Journal of Climate, 27(21), 8126-8134.
[44]. Liu, Y., Fan, K.*, 2014: An application of hybrid downscaling model to forecast summer precipitation at stations in China. Atmospheric Research, 143, 17-30.
[45]. 徐志清, 范可, 2014: 印度洋海温异常年际变率模态对中国东部地区夏季降水影响机制的数值试验. 气候与环境研究, 19 (1), 31-40.
[46]. Fan, K., H. Liu, 2013: Evaluation of Atmospheric Circulation in the Southern Hemisphere in 20CRv2. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 6(5), 337-342.
[47]. Fan, K., B. Q. Tian, 2013: Prediction of wintertime heavy snow activity in Northeast China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 58(12), 1420-1426. 范可, 田宝强, 2013: 东北地区冬半年大雪-暴雪日数气候预测. 科学通报, 58(8): 699-706.
[48]. Liu, Y., K. Fan*, 2013: A new statistical downscaling model for autumn precipitation in China. International Journal of Climatology, 33(6), 1321-1336.
[49]. Liu, Y., K. Fan, Y. P. Yan, 2013: A new statistical downscaling scheme for predicting winter precipitation in China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 6(5), 332-336.
[50]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan*, 2013: Factors favorable to frequent extreme precipitation in the upper Yangtze River Valley. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 121(3-4), 189-197.
[51]. Zhou, M. Z., H. J. Wang, S. Yang, K. Fan, 2013: Influence of springtime North Atlantic Oscillation on crops yields in Northeast China. Climate Dynamics, 41(11-12), 3317-3324.
[52]. 范可, 刘辉, 2013: 近百年东亚冬季气温及其大气环流变化型态. 大气科学, 37(2), 383-394.
[53]. 林美静, 范可, 2013: DEMETER耦合气候模式对西北太平洋纬向风垂直切变的预测能力研究. 气候与环境研究, 18(6), 793-803.
[54]. 刘颖, 范可, 张颖, 2013: 基于CFS模式的中国站点夏季降水统计降尺度预测. 大气科学, 37(6), 1287-1296.
[55]. 王会军, 范可, 2013: 东亚季风近几十年来的主要变化特征. 大气科学, 37(2), 313-318.
[56]. Chen, H. P., J. Q. Sun, K. Fan, 2012: Possible mechanism for the interdecadal change of Xinjiang summer precipitation. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 55(3), 267-274. 陈活泼, 孙建奇, 范可, 2012: 新疆夏季降水年代际转型的归因分析. 地球物理学报, 55(6), 1844-1851.
[57]. Chen, H. P., J. Q. Sun, K. Fan, 2012: Decadal features of heavy rainfall events in eastern China. Acta Meteorological Sinica, 26(3), 289-303.
[58]. Fan, K., Y. Liu, H. P. Chen, 2012: Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches. Weather and Forecasting, 27(4), 1017-1030.
[59]. Fan, K., 2012: A statistical prediction model for spring rainfall over northern China based on the interannual increment approach. Journal of tropical Meteorology, 18(4), 543-550.
[60]. Liu, Y., K. Fan*, 2012a: Improve the Prediction of Summer Precipitation in the Southeastern China by a Hybrid Statistical Downscaling Model. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 117(3-4), 121-134.
[61]. Liu, Y., K. Fan*, 2012b: Prediction of Spring Precipitation in China using a Downscaling Approach. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 118(1-2), 79-93.
[62]. Tian, B. Q., K. Fan*, 2012: Relationship between the late spring NAO and summer extreme precipitation frequency in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 5(6), 445-460.
[63]. Wang H. J., J. Q. Sun, H. P. Chen, Y. L. Zhu, Y. Zhang, D. B. Jiang, X. M. Lang, K. Fan, E. T. Yu, S. Yang, 2012: Extreme Climate in China: Facts, Simulation and Projection. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 21(3), 279-304.
[64]. 徐志清, 范可*, 2012: 冬季和春季印度洋海温异常年际变率模态对中国东部夏季降水的可能影响过程. 大气科学, 36(5), 879-888.
[65]. Fan, K., 2011: A Statistical Scheme for the Seasonal Forecasting of North China’s Surface Air Temperature during Winter. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4(2), 81-85.
[66]. Liu, Y., K. Fan, H. J. Wang, 2011: Statistical downscaling prediction of summer precipitation in southeastern China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4(3), 173-180.
[67]. Fan, K., 2010: A prediction model for Atlantic named storm frequency using a year-by-year increment approach. Weather and Forecasting, 25(6), 1842-1851.
[68]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2010: Seasonal prediction of summer temperature over Northeast China using a year-to-year incremental approach. Acta Meteorological Sinica, 24(3), 269-275.
[69]. Yue, X., H. J. Wang, H. Liao, K. Fan, 2010: Simulation of dust aerosol radiative feedback using the GMOD: 2. Dust-climate interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D04201.
[70]. Yue, X., H. J. Wang, H. Liao, K. Fan, 2010: Direct climatic effect of dust aerosol in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model Version 3 (CAM3). Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 27(2), 230-242.
[71]. 崔绚, 周波涛, 范可, 2010: 卑尔根气候模式中亚洲-太平洋涛动和影响西北太平洋热带气旋频数的环流背景的关系. 气候与环境研究, 15(2), 120-128.
[72]. 林美静, 范可, 王会军, 2010: 西北太平洋区域纬向风垂直切变的气候特征研究. 气象学报, 68(3), 309-314.
[73]. Fan, K., 2009a: Linkage between the Atlantic Tropical Hurricane Frequency and the Antarctic Oscillation in the Western Hemisphere. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2(3), 159-164.
[74]. Fan, K., 2009b: Seasonal Forecast Model for the Number of Tropical Cyclones to Make Landfall in China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2(5), 251-254.
[75]. Fan, K., 2009c: Predicting winter surface air temperature in Northeast China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2(1), 14-17.
[76]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2009: A new approach to forecasting typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific. Weather and Forecasting, 24(4), 974-986.
[77]. Fan, K., M. J. Lin, Y. Z. Gao, 2009: Forecasting the summer rainfall in North China using the year-to-year increment approach. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 52(4), 532-539. 范可, 林美静, 高煜中, 2008: 用年际增量的方法预测华北汛期降水. 中国科学D辑: 地球科学, 38(11), 1452-1459.
[78]. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, 2009: A New Scheme for Improving the Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation Anomalies. Weather and Forecasting, 24(2), 548-554.
[79]. Yue, X., H. J. Wang, Z. F. Wang, K. Fan, 2009: Simulation of dust aerosol radiative feedback using the Global Transport Model of Dust: 1. Dust cycle and validation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D10202.
[80]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, Y. J. Choi, 2008: A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall. Chinese Science Bulletin, 53(4), 602-609. 范可, 王会军, Choi Young-Jean, 2007: 一个长江中下游夏季降水的物理统计预测模型. 科学通报, 52(24), 2900-2905.
[81]. Lin, M. J., K. Fan, H. J. Wang, 2008: Somali jet changes under the global warming. Acta Meteorological Sinica, 22(4), 502-510 林美静, 范可, 王会军, 2008: 全球气候变暖背景下索马里急流变化的预估研究. 气象学报, 66(5), 756-764.
[82]. Fan, K., 2007: Zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L02706.
[83]. Fan, K., 2007a: North Pacific Sea ice cover, a predictor for the western North Pacific typhoon frequency?. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 50(8), 1251-1257. 范可, 2007: 北太平洋海冰, 一个西北太平洋台风生成频次的预测因子?. 中国科学D辑: 地球科学, 37(6), 851-856.
[84]. Fan, K., 2007b: New predictors and a new prediction model for the typhoon frequency over western North Pacific. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 50(9), 1417-1423. 范可, 2007: 西北太平洋台风生成频次的新预测因子和新预测模型. 中国科学D辑: 地球科学, 37(9), 1260-1266.
[85]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2007: Dust storms in North China in 2002: A case study of the low frequency oscillation. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 24(1), 15-23.
[86]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2007: Simulation of the AAO anomaly and its influence on the Northern Hemispheric circulation in boreal winter and spring. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 50(2), 376-382. 范可, 王会军, 2007: 南极涛动异常及其对冬春季北半球大气环流影响的数值模拟试验. 地球物理学报, 50(2), 397-403.
[87]. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, 2007: Relationship between the Antarctic oscillation and the western North Pacific typhoon frequency. Chinese Science Bulletin, 52(4), 561-56.5. 王会军, 范可, 2006: 西北太平洋台风生成频次与南极涛动的关系. 科学通报, 2006, 51(24), 2910-2914.
[88]. Wang, H. J., J. Q. Sun, K. Fan, 2007: Relationships between the North Pacific Oscillation and typhoon and hurricane frequencies. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 50(9), 1409-1416. 王会军, 孙建奇, 范可, 2007: 北太平洋涛动与台风和飓风频次的关系研究. 中国科学D辑: 地球科学, 37(7), 966-973.
[89]. 范可, 王会军, 2007: 异常弱的南极涛动和2006年我国春季沙尘气候形势. 气候与环境研究, 12(4), 475-480.
[90]. 王会军, 范可, 孙建奇, 郎咸梅, 林美静, 2007: 关于西太平洋台风气候变异和预测的若干研究进展. 大气科学, 31(6), 1076-1081.
[91]. 严华生, 胡娟, 范可, 张云瑾, 2007: 近50年来夏季西风指数变化与中国夏季降水的关系. 大气科学, 31(4), 717-726.
[92]. Fan, K., 2006: Atmospheric circulation in southern Hemisphere and summer rainfall over Yangtze River Valley. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(3), 599-606. 范可, 2006: 南半球环流异常与长江中下游旱涝的关系. 地球物理学报, 49(3), 672-679.
[93]. Fan, K, H. J. Wang, 2006a: Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 49(5), 554-560. 范可, 王会军, 2006a: 南极涛动的年际变化及其对东亚冬春季气候的影响. 中国科学D辑: 地球科学, 36(4), 385-391.
[94]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2006b: The Interannual Variability of Dust Weather Frequency In Beijing and Its Global Atmospheric Circulation. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 49(4), 892-899. 范可, 王会军, 2006b: 北京的沙尘频次的年际变化及其全球环流背景分析. 地球物理学报, 49(4), 1006-1014.
[95]. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, 2006: Southern Hemisphere mean zonal wind in upper troposphere and East Asian summer monsoon circulation. Chinese Science Bulletin, 51(12), 1508-1514. 王会军, 范可, 2006: 南半球对流层上层纬向风与东亚夏季风环流. 科学通报, 51(13), 1595-1600.
[96]. 范可, 王会军, 2006: 有关南半球大气环流与东亚气候的关系研究的若干新进展. 大气科学, 30(3), 402-412.
[97]. 范可, 王会军, 2006: 南极涛动异常与2006年我国东部夏季降水形势预测. 应用气象学报, 17(3), 383-384.
[98]. 王会军, 郎咸梅, 范可, 孙建奇, 周广庆, 2006: 关于2006年西太平洋台风活动频次的气候预测试验. 气候与环境研究, 11(2), 133-137.
[99]. Wang, H. J., K. Fan, 2005: Central-north China precipitation as reconstructed from the Qing dynasty: Signal of the Antarctic Atmospheric Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L24705.
[100]. Fan, K., H. J. Wang, 2004: Antarctic oscillation and the dust weather frequency in North China. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L10201.
专著:王会军, 范可, 郎咸梅等, 2012: 我国短期气候预测的新理论、新方法和新技术. 气象出版社.