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竺可桢-南森国际研究中心
邮 箱:nzc_iap@mail.iap.ac.cn
邮 编:100029
地 址:北京市朝阳区德胜门外祁家豁子华严里40号 竺南中心
关于我们
About Our Centre周波涛/Zhou Botao.研究员/Professor
教育背景:
1996.09-2000.06,南京气象学院大气科学系气象学专业,本科
2000.09-2003.06,南京气象学院大气科学系气象学专业,硕士
2003.09-2006.06,中科院大气物理研究所气象学专业, 博士
工作经历:
2006.06-2018.03 国家气候中心
2018.03-至今 南京信息工程大学大气科学学院
学术兼职:
IPCC第六次评估报告主要作者
IPCC第五次评估报告第一工作组TSU
联合国秘书长全球可持续性高级别小组顾问
全国气候与气候变化标准技术委员会副秘书长
中国气象学会气候变化与低碳发展委员会副主任委员
中国气象学会统计气象学和气候预测委员会委员
中国气象学会气象科学普及工作委员会委员
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences、气象学报、气候变化研究进展等期刊编委
ResearchGate个人网页:https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Botao_Zhou
代表性论文
Makula EK, Zhou BT* (2021). Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 evaluation and projection of East African precipitation. Int. J. Climatol., doi: 10.1002/joc.7373
Zhou BT, Wang ZY, Sun B, Hao X (2021). Decadal change of heavy snowfall over Northern China in the mid-1990s and associated background circulations. J. Clim., 34, 825-837. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0815.1
Zhou BT, Xu ML, Sun B, Han TT, Cheng ZG (2021). Possible role of Southern Hemispheric sea ice in the variability of West China autumn rain. Atmos. Res., 249, 105329. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105329
Makula EK, Zhou BT* (2021). Changes in March to May rainfall over Tanzania during 1978–2017. Int. J. Climatol., 41, 5663–5675. doi:10.1002/joc.7146
Hu YP, Zhou BT*, Han TT, Li HX, Wang HJ (2021). Out-of-phase decadal change in drought over Northeast China between early spring and late summer around 2000 and its linkage to the Atlantic sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res., 126, e2020JD034048. doi:10.1029/2020JD034048
Xie WX, Zhou BT*, Han ZY, Xu Y (2021). Projected changes in heat waves over China: Ensemble result from RegCM4 downscaling simulations. Int. J. Climatol., 41, 3865-3880. doi:10.1002/joc.7047
Yang XL, Zhou BT*, Xu Y, Han ZY (2021). CMIP6 evaluation and projection of temperature and precipitation over China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38, 817-830
Yin ZC, Zhou BT, Chen HP, Li YY (2021). Synergetic impacts of precursory climate drivers on interannual-decadal variations in haze pollution in North China: A review. Science of the Total Environment, 755, 143017. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143017
Zhang DP, Huang YY, Zhou BT, Wang HJ (2021). Is there interdecadal variation in the South Asian High. J Clim., 34, 8089-8103. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0059.1
Xu XP, He SP, Gao YQ, Zhou BT, Wang HJ (2021). Contributors to linkage between Arctic warming and East Asian winter climate. Clim. Dyn., 57, 2543-2555. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05820-x
Han TT, Guo XY, Zhou BT*, Hao X (2021). Recent changes in heavy precipitation events in northern central China and associated atmospheric circulation. Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 301-310. doi:10.1007/s13143-020-00195-1
Han TT, Zhang MH, Zhu JW, Zhou BT, Li SF (2021). Impact of early spring sea ice in Barents Sea on midsummer rainfall distribution at Northeast China. Clim. Dyn., 57, 1023-1037. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05754-4
Yang JQ, Chen HS, Song YD, Zhu SG, Zhou BT, Zhang J (2021). Atmospheric circumglobal teleconnection triggered by spring land thermal anomalies over West Asia and its possible impacts on early summer climate over North China. J. Clim., 34, 5999-6021. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0911.1
Sun B, Wang HJ, Wang AH, Miao Y, Zhou BT, Li HX (2021). Regularity and irregularity of the seasonal northward march of the East Asian summer wet environment and the influential factors. J. Clim., 34, 545-566. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0333.1
Sun B, Wang HJ, Wu BW, Xu M, Zhou BT, Li HX, Wang T (2021). Dynamic control of the dominant modes of interannual variability of snowfall frequency in China. J. Clim., 34, 2777-2790. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0705.1
Zhu SG, Qi YJ, Chen HS, Gao CJ, Zhou BT, Zhang J, Wei JF (2021). Distinct impacts of spring soil moisture over the Indo-China Peninsula on summer precipitation in the Yangtze River basin under different SST backgrounds. Clim. Dyn., 56, 1895-1918. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05567-x
Xu Y, Liu YJ, Han ZY, Zhou BT, Ding YH, Wu J, Tian TF, Li RK, Wang J (2021). Influence of human activities on wintertime haze-related meteorological conditions over the Jing–Jin–Ji region. Engineering, 7, 1185-1192. doi:10.1016/j.eng.2020.03.015
Liu L, Wang XJ, Feng GL, Dogar MM, Zhang F, Gong ZQ, Zhou BT (2021). Variation of main rainy-season precipitation in eastern China and relevance to regional warming. Int. J. Climatotl., 41, 1767-1783. doi:10.1002/joc.6929
Zhou BT, Cheng Y, Han ZY, Xu Y, Wang XL (2020). Future changes of cluster high temperature events over China from RegCM4 ensemble under RCP4.5 scenario. Adv. Climate Change Res., 11, 349-359. doi:10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.007
Xie WX, Zhou BT*, You QL, Zhang YQ, Ullah S (2020). Observed changes in heat waves with different severities in China during 1961-2015. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 141, 1529-1540. doi:10.1007/s00704-020-03285-2
Ajibola FO, Zhou BT*, Gnitou GT, Onyejuruwa A (2020). Evaluation of the performance of CMIP6 HighResMIP on West African precipitation. Atmosphere, 11(10), 1053, doi:10.3390/atmos11101053
Wang ZY, Ding YH, Zhou BT*, Chen LJ (2020). Comparison of two severe low-temperature snowstorm and ice freezing events in China: Role of Eurasian mid-high latitude circulation patterns. Int. J. Climatol., 40: 3436-3450. doi: 10.1002/joc.6406
Han TT, Zhang MH, Zhou BT, Hao X, Li SF (2020). Strengthened relationship between tropical West Pacific and midsummer precipitation over Northeast China after the mid-1990s. J. Clim., 33, 6833-6848. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0957.1
Chen HS, Yu B, Zhou BT, Zhang WX, Zhang J (2020). Role of local atmospheric forcing and land-atmosphere interaction in recent land surface warming in the middle latitude over East Asia. J. Clim., 33, 2295-2309. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0856.1
Luo JS, Chen HS, Zhou BT (2020). Comparison of Snowfall Variations over China Identified from Different Snowfall/Rain Discrimination Methods. J. Meteor. Res., 34(5), 1114-1128. doi:10.1007/s13351-020-0004-z
Wu J, Han ZY, Xu Y, Zhou BT, Gao XJ (2020). Changes in extreme climate events in China under 1.5°C-4°C global warming targets: projections using an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 125, e2019JD031057. doi:10.1029/2019JD031057
Zhang WX, Chen HS, Zhou LM, Zhou BT, Zhang J, Wei JF(2020). Effects of nonuniform land surface warming on summer anomalous extratropical cyclone activity and East Asian summer monsoon: Numerical experiments with a regional climate model. J. Clim., 33, 10469-10488. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0088.1
Xu Y, Zhang HQ, Liu YJ, Han ZY, Zhou BT (2020). Atmospheric rivers in the Australia–Asian region under current and future climate in CMIP5 models. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 70, 88-105. doi:10.1071/ES1904
Zhou BT, Wu J, Xu Y, Han ZY, Shi Y (2019). Projected changes in autumn rainfall over West China: results from an ensemble of dynamical downscaling simulations. Int. J. Climatol., 39: 4869-4882. doi: 10.1002/joc.6115
Zhou BT, Wang ZY (2019). Enlightenment from heavy autumn rain of West China in 2017: synergic role of atmospheric circulation at mid-high latitudes and oceanic background. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 138: 263-274. doi: 10.1007/s00704-019-02809-9
Wang ZY, Zhou BT* (2019). Observed decadal transition in trend of autumn rainfall over Central China in the late 1990s. J. Clim., 32: 1395-1409. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0112.1
Sun B, Li HX, Zhou BT* (2019). Interdecadal variation of Indian Ocean basin mode and the impact on Asian summer climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46: 12388-12397. doi:10.1029/2019GL085019
Sun B, Wang HJ, Zhou BT*, Li H (2019). Interdecadal variation in the synoptic features of Mei-Yu in the Yangtze River valley region and relationship with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J. Clim., 32: 6251-6270. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0017.1
Sun B, Wang HJ, Zhou BT* (2019). Climatic condition and synoptic regimes of two intense snowfall events in eastern China and implications for climate variability. J. Geophys. Res., 124: 926-941. doi: 10.1029/2018JD029921
Zhang C, Wang ZY, Zhou BT*, Li YH, Tang HY, Xiang B (2019). Trends in autumn rain of West China from 1961 to 2014. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135: 533-544. doi: 10.1007/s00704-017-2361-9
Han ZY, Shi Y, Wu J, Xu Y, Zhou BT* (2019). Combined dynamical and statistical downscaling for high-resolution projections of multiple climate variables in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 58, 2387-2403. doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0050.1
Sun B, Wang HJ, Zhou BT (2019). Interdecadal variation of the relationship between East Asian water vapor transport and tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures during January and associated mechanisms. J. Clim., 32: 7575-7594. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0290.1
Chen HS, Zhan WX, Zhou BT, Teng FD, Zhang J, Zhou Y (2019). Impact of nonuniform land surface warming on summer anomalous extratropical cyclone activity over East Asia. J. Geophys. Res., 124: 10306-10320. doi:10.1029/2018JD030165
Xu B, Chen HS, Gao CJ, Zhou BT, Sun SL, Zhu SG (2019). Regional response of winter snow cover over the Northern Eurasia to late autumn Arctic sea ice and associated mechanism. Atmos. Res., 222: 100-113. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.02.010
Duan WL, Hanasaki N, Shiogama H, Chen Y, Zou S, Nover D, Zhou BT, Wang Y (2019). Evaluation and Future Projection of Chinese Precipitation Extremes using Large Ensemble High-Resolution Climate Simulations. J. Clim., 32, 2169-2183. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0465.1
Zhou BT, Wang ZY, Shi Y, Xu Y, Han ZY (2018). Historical and future changes of snowfall events in China under a warming background. J. Clim., 31: 5873-5889. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0428.1
Zhou BT, Xu Y, Shi Y (2018). Present and future connection of Asian-Pacific Oscillation to large-scale atmospheric circulations and East Asian rainfall: Results of CMIP5. Clim. Dyn., 50:17-29. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3579-z
Lu CH, Zhou BT (2018). Influences of the 11-year Sunspot Cycle and Polar Vortex Oscillation on the Observed Winter Temperature Variations in China. J. Meteor. Res., 32(3): 367-379, doi: 10.1007/s13351-018-7101-2
Xu Y, Gao XJ, Giorgi F, Zhou BT, Shi Y, Wu J, Zhang YX (2018). Projected changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over China as measured by 50-year return values and periods based on CMIP5 ensemble. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 35(4), 376-388. doi:10.1007/s00376-017-6269-1
Shi Y, Zhang D, Xu Y, Zhou BT (2018). Changes of heating and cooling degree days over China in response to global warming of 1.5°C, 2°C, 3°C and 4°C. Advances in Climate Change Research, 9: 192-200
王遵娅, 周波涛* (2018). 影响中国北方强降雪事件年际变化的典型环流背景和水汽收支特征分析. 地球物理学报, 61(7): 2654-2666. doi: 10.6038/cjg2018L0405
Zhou BT, Wang ZY, Shi Y (2017). Possible role of Hadley circulation strengthening in interdecadal intensification of snowfalls over northeastern China under climate change. J. Geophys. Res., 122: 11638–11650, doi:10.1002/2017JD027574
Zhou BT, Xu Y (2017). How the "best" CMIP5 models project relations of Asian-Pacific Oscillation to circulation backgrounds favorable for tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Res., 31(1): 107-116. doi:10.1007/s13351-017-6088-4
Zhou BT, Xu Y (2017). CMIP5 analysis on the interannual variability of the Pacific SST and its association with the Asian-Pacific oscillation. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 10(2): 138-145. doi: 10.1080/16742834.2017.1260427
Han ZY, Zhou BT*, Xu Y, Wu J, Shi Y (2017). Projected changes in haze pollution potential in China: an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 10109-10123. doi: 10.5194/acp-17-10109-2017
Ren YJ, Zhou BT*, Song LC, Xiao Y (2017). Interannual variability of western North Pacific subtropical high, East Asian jet and East Asian summer precipitation: CMIP5 simulation and projection. Quaternary International, 440: 64-70. doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2016.08.033
Wang YJ, Zhou BT*, Qin DH, Wu J, Gao R, Song LC (2017). Changes in mean and extreme temperature and precipitation over the arid region of northwestern China: observation and projection. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 34(3): 287-305. doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6160-5
Xu Y, Zhou BT*, Wu J, Han ZY, Zhang YX, Wu J (2017). Asian climate change under 1.5-4°C warming targets. Advances in Climate Change Research, 8: 99-107, doi:10.1016/j.accre.2017.05.004
Wang ZY, Yang S, Zhou BT (2017). Preceding features and relationship with possible affecting factors of persistent and extensive icing events in China. Int. J. Climatol., 37: 4105–4118. doi :10.1002/joc.5026
Wang ZY, Ding YH, Lu M, Zhou BT, Yang S, Jiang XW, Ke ZJ (2017). Intraseasonal variability and predictability of the subtropical Asian summer rain band. Int. J. Climatol., 37: 4119–4130. doi:10.1002/joc.5033
王政琪, 徐影, 周波涛* (2017). CMIP5模式对东亚冬季风指数变化及其与冬季大气环流和气温关系的模拟评估. 地球物理学报, 60(9): 3315-3324. doi:10.6038/cjg20170904
吴婕, 徐影, 周波涛 (2017). CMIP5全球气候模式对中国上空空气静稳日数模拟能力评估. 地球物理学报, 60(4): 1293-1304. doi: 10.6038/cjg20170406
Zhou BT (2016). The Asian–Pacific Oscillation pattern in CMIP5 simulations of historical and future climate. Int. J. Climatol., 36: 4778–4789, doi: 10.1002/joc.4668
Zhou BT, Shi Y, Xu Y (2016). CMIP5 simulated change in the intensity of the Hadley and Walker circulations from the perspective of velocity potential. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33(7): 808-818, doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5216-x
Zhou BT, Xu Y, Wu J, Dong SY, Shi Y (2016). Changes in temperature and precipitation extreme indices over China: Analysis of a high-resolution grid dataset. Int. J. Climatol., 36: 1051–1066, doi: 10.1002/joc.4400
Lu CH, Zhou BT*; Ding YH (2016). Decadal variation of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode and its influence on the East Asian trough. J. Meteor. Res., 30(4): 584-597. doi: 10.1007/s13351-016-5105-3
Sun Y, Song LC, Yin H, Zhang XB, Scott P, Zhou BT, Hu T (2016). Human influence on the 2015 extreme high temperature in western China. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97(12), S102–S106, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0158.1
Zhou BT, Wang Z (2015). On the significance of the interannual relationship between the Asian-Pacific Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., 120: 6489–6499, doi:10.1002/2015JD023328
Song LC, Sun Y, Dong SY, Zhou BT, Stott P, Ren GY (2015). Role of anthropogenic forcing in 2014 hot spring in Northern China. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12): S111–S114, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00111.1
Dong S, Xu Y, Zhou BT, Shi Y (2015). Assessment of indices of temperature extremes simulated by multiple CMIP5 models over China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 32: 1077-1091, doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-4152-5
Xu Y, Gao XJ, Shi Y, Zhou BT (2015). Detection and attribution analysis of annual mean temperature changes in China. Clim. Res., 63: 61-71. doi: 10.3354/cr01283
Xu Y, Wu J, Shi Y, Zhou BT, Li RK, Wu J (2015). Change in extreme climate events over China based on CMIP5. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 8(4): 185-192, doi: 10.3878/AOSL20150006
Zhou BT, Chao QC, Huang L (2015). The Core conclusions and interpretation of Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies, 3(1): 1550003 (7 pages), doi: 10.1142/S2345748115500037
吴佳, 周波涛*, 徐影 (2015).中国平均降水和极端降水对气候变暖的响应: CMIP5模式模拟评估和预估. 地球物理学报, 58(9): 3048-3060, doi: 10.6038/cjg20150903
Qin DH, Zhou BT, Xiao CD (2014). Progress in studies of cryospheric changes and their impacts on climate of China. J. Meteor. Res., 28(5): 732-746
Zhou BT, Wen HQ, Xu Y, Song LC, Zhang XB (2014). Projected changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in China by the CMIP5 multimodel ensembles. J. Clim., 27: 6591-6611, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00761.1
Zhou BT, Cui X (2014). Interdecadal change of the linkage between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific. Science China: Earth Sciences, 57: 2148-2155
Zhou BT, Zhao P (2013). Simulating changes of spring Asian-Pacific oscillation and associated atmospheric circulation in the mid-Holocene. Int. J. Climatol., 33: 529-538, doi: 10.1002/joc.3438
Zhou BT (2013). Weakening of winter North Atlantic Oscillation signal in spring precipitation over southern China. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 6: 248-252.
Zhou BT, Xia DD (2012). Interdecadal change of the connection between winter North Pacific Oscillation and summer precipitation in the Huaihe River valley. Sci. China Earth Sci., 55(12): 2049-2057
Zhou BT (2012). Model evaluation and projection on the linkage between Hadley circulation and atmospheric background related to the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 5(6): 473-477
Zhou BT, Zhang Li (2012). A simulation of the upper-tropospheric temperature pattern in BCC_CSM1.1. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 5(6): 478-482
周波涛 (2012). 全球变暖背景下春季Hadley环流与东亚夏季风环流年际对应关系的多模式预估.地球物理学报, 55(11): 3517-3526
Zhou BT (2011). Linkage between winter sea surface temperature east of Australia and summer precipitation in the Yangtze River valley and a possible physical mechanism. Chin. Sci. Bull., 56(17): 1821-1827
Zhou BT, Cui X (2011). Sea surface temperature east of Australia: A predictor of tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific? Chin. Sci. Bull., 56: 196-201
Zhou BT, Zhao P (2010). Modeling variations of summer upper tropospheric temperature and associated climate over the Asian Pacific region during the mid-Holocene. J. Geophys. Res., 115: D20109, doi:10.1029/2010JD014029
Zhou BT, Zhao P (2010) . Influence of the Asian-Pacific oscillation on spring precipitation over central eastern China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27(3): 75-582, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9058-7
Zhou BT, Zhao P, Cui X (2010). Linkage between the Asian-Pacific Oscillation and the sea surface temperature in the North Pacific. Chin. Sci. Bull., 55: 1193-1198
Zhou BT, Zhao P (2009). Inverse correlation between ancient winter and summer monsoons in East Asia? Chin. Sci. Bull., 54: 3760-3767
周波涛, 崔绚 (2009). 春季Hadley环流异常对夏季西北太平洋热带气旋频数影响的数值模拟试验. 地球物理学报, 52(12): 2958-2963
Zhou BT, Wang HJ (2008). Interdecadal change in the connection between Hadley circulation and winter temperature in East Asia. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 25(1): 24-30
Zhou BT, Cui X (2008). Hadley circulation signal in the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 113: D16107, doi:10.1029/2007JD009156
Zhou BT, Cui X, Zhao P (2008). Relationship between the Asian-Pacific oscillation and the tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific. Science in China Series D-Earth Sciences, 51(3): 380-385
Zhou BT, Wang HJ (2008). Relationship between Hadley Circulation and Sea Ice Extent in the Bering Sea. Chin. Sci. Bull., 53(3): 444-449
周波涛, 王会军, 崔绚 (2008). Hadley环流与北太平洋涛动的显著关系. 地球物理学报, 51(4): 999-1006
Zhou BT, Wang HJ (2006). Relationship between the boreal spring Hadley circulation and the summer precipitation in the Yangtze River valley. J. Geophys. Res., 111: D16109, doi:10.1029/2005JD007006
周波涛, 王会军 (2006). Hadley环流的年际和年代际变化特征及其与热带海温的关系. 地球物理学报, 49(5): 1271-1278
Zhou BT, Zhao P, Jian Z, He JH (2005). Modeling the impact of Australian Plate drift on Southern Hemisphere climate and environment. Chin. Sci. Bull., 50 (14): 1495-1502