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竺可桢-南森国际研究中心
邮 箱:nzc_iap@mail.iap.ac.cn
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地 址:北京市朝阳区德胜门外祁家豁子华严里40号 竺南中心
重点方向二: 气候可预测性和预测
Research Strategy II: Climate predictability and prediction
[2019-04-20]2. 气候可预测性和预测
总体目标:通过动力和统计方法,提高欧亚地区气候及其极端事件的预测能力。
2. Climate Predictability and Prediction
Heads: Noel Keenlyside (UoB/BCCR), Ke Fan (NZC)
Overall goal : Enhance climate prediction through dynamical and statistical approaches focusing on Eurasian climate and extremes.
(1) We will consider timescales from intra-seasonal to decadal.
(2) As mechanism to improve prediction we will consider impacts of sea ice, snow cover, sea surface temperature and soil moisture.
(3) Representation of ocean (SOM, mixed-layer, and OGCM), and atmosphere (resolution) on prediction of monsoons.
(4) Statistical approaches to enhance dynamical predictions will be investigated